IHRA 
                  Conference in Melbourne April 20-24, 2004.
                 
                  
                  The 15th International Conference on the Reduction of Drug Related 
                  Harm organised by the International Harm Reduction Association 
                  (IHRA) will be held from 20 to 24 April at the Melbourne Convention 
                  Centre. The IHRA chairman is Dr Alex Wodak of Sydney's St Vincent's 
                  Hospital, a world authority on harm reduction (HR). 
                  The Monash Pharmacy Practice Symposium: Innovations in teaching 
                  and learning practice 
                  This will be held on 15th and 16th April 2004 in Monash University. 
                  Specialist HR pharmacists Assoc Prof Janie Sheridan formerly 
                  with London's National Addiction Centre and Kay Roberts the 
                  Co-ordinator of Glasgow's Pharmacy Needle Exchange Scheme are 
                  travelling to Australia to participate. 
                HYPOTHESIS 
                  
                  
                  Decrease in HIV/AIDS mortality and morbidity in 2003 attributed 
                  to the harm reduction (HR) activities in community pharmacies 
                  in Oceania 
                
                  Editor : 
                  The following preliminary report by Con Berbatis is to make 
                  i2P readers aware of 
                  
                  (a) the latest statistics of HIV/AIDS in Oceania (Australia 
                  and New Zealand) and North America, 
                  (b) the term 'harm reduction ' (HR) , its scope and importance 
                  in Australia's community pharmacies,
                  and 
                  (c) a new approach to estimating community pharmacies' contribution 
                  to lowering HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality by virtue of their 
                  known HR activities in Australia compared to North America . 
                  
                  
                  This report has not been reviewed by experts. 
                  If readers find flaws or omissions please email them directly 
                  to Con Berbatis so he may take these into account in developing 
                  this study.
                1.0 
                  BACKGROUND
                  
                  Australia's community pharmacies are amongst world leaders in 
                  harm reduction (HR) practice . 
                  Harm reduction aims to decrease the adverse health, social and 
                  economic consequences of drug use without necessarily diminishing 
                  drug consumption (Wodak,2003). Typical examples in pharmacies 
                  are (a) issuing sterile needle equipment in order to prevent 
                  the transmission of viruses and microbes in body fluids, 
                  (b) participating in methadone maintenance programs and in particular 
                  supervising the dosing of oral liquid methadone, of buprenorphine 
                  and other drug dependence pharmacotherapies , 
                  (c) issuing condoms for preventing sexually transmitted diseases 
                  (STDs) often resulting from illicit drug consumption, 
                  (d) providing information on HR, health promotion and preventing 
                  sexually transmitted diseases to affected individuals, those 
                  at risk or their carers and 
                  (e) increasingly in Australia declining the dispensing or sale 
                  of licit prescribed or over-the-counter agents (OTCs) to consumers 
                  whose motives are dependence or diversion and not therapeutic 
                  drug use. 
                  
                  1.1 Quantifying the HR contribution of Australia's community 
                  pharmacies : processes
                  
                  Curtin University's National Pharmacy Database Project found 
                  40-50% of pharmacies in 2002 supervised dosing of liquid methadone 
                  or other agents and approximately 50% issued needle equipment 
                  which placed them second to pharmacies in Scotland in methadone 
                  dosing and first amongst pharmacies in the world for distributing 
                  needle equipment. 
                  According to the results of Curtin University's National Pharmacy 
                  Database Project Australia's pharmacies in 2002 detected minimally 
                  13,500 forged S8 prescriptions, 24,000 doctor or prescription 
                  shoppers and refused supply of dependence-producing OTCs to 
                  0.63 million clients .
                  HR services in 2002 were charged for in 31.5% of pharmacies 
                  which represents the most widely remunerated specialist or enhanced 
                  service provided in Australia's community pharmacies (Berbatis 
                  et al, 2004).
                  Comparable HR data have been reported for just Scotland, England 
                  and Wales. 
                  
                  1. 2 Quantifying the HR contribution of Australia's community 
                  pharmacies : outcomes
                  
                  While the above statistics quantify the HR activities or processes 
                  performed in community pharmacies , they give little idea of 
                  the outcomes of their HR involvement. 
                  In 2000 , our Curtin University pharmacy research group with 
                  statisticians from the University of Western Australia, reported 
                  for the first time the higher retention of methadone maintenance 
                  patients in community or primary care methadone programs with 
                  community pharmacists issuing methadone compared to hospital 
                  clinic programs . 
                  The costs were lower or similar to those in corresponding hospital 
                  or private clinics . 
                  The retention of patients is regarded as the most practical 
                  quantitative indicator of the performance of methadone programs 
                    (Berbatis and Sunderland, 2000)
                  In the following we consider another approach to measuring the 
                  outcomes of community pharmacists' HR activities.
                  
                  1.2.1 Oceania's community pharmacies' contribution to HIV/AIDS 
                  morbidity and mortality in 2003
                  
                  The following quantitative approach to estimating community 
                  pharmacy's is based on the notional contribution to HIV/AIDS 
                  cases and lives prevented or saved through HR activities.
                  The latest data reflecting the international extent of HIV/ 
                  AIDS with statistics on the prevalence (current cases) , incidence 
                  (new cases) and mortality (deaths0 by region around the world 
                  including North America (the USA and Canada) and Oceania (Australia 
                  and New Zealand) were published by UNAIDS an agency of the United 
                  Nations in November 2003. 
                  There are various causes of HIV/AIDS including transfusion with 
                  contaminated blood products, sexually transmitted disease and 
                  injection with infected equipment most commonly with shared 
                  needle equipment which is the most common cause in north America 
                  and Oceania.
                  If the contribution by our colleague community pharmacies in 
                  New Zealand is included and a modest overall attributable fraction 
                  is applied to the estimated numbers of cases and lives saved 
                  in Oceania compared with North America , a sizable contribution 
                  to the HIV-AIDS numbers and lives saved results. In the USA 
                  methadone dosing in pharmacies is negligible and the provision 
                  needles quite patchy throughout the 1980s and 1990s.
                  Population studies attribute most of the prevention in deaths 
                  and cases of HIV/AIDS to HR activities and in particular to 
                  the provision of sterile needle equipment and methadone maintenance 
                  programs (Wodak,2003).
                2.0 
                  METHOD
                  
                  The methodology is divided into the following two parts .
                  
                  2 .1 Decreases in HIV/AIDS in Oceania in 2003 due to harm 
                  reduction 
                  
                  It is assumed in the following estimates that the decreases 
                  in HIV/AIDS deaths, incidence and prevalence in Oceania in 2003 
                  compared to North America were totally attributable to the higher 
                  rates of HR activities in Oceania compared to North America. 
                  
                  
                  The stepwise calculations were as follows :
                  
                  1. The ranges of estimated prevalence, incidence and mortality 
                  (deaths) due to AIDS/HIV in 2003 for 'North America' and 'Oceania' 
                  were drawn from UNAIDS statistics released in November 2003 
                  
                  (Table 1). 
                  2. The estimates for North America were adjusted respectively 
                  to the population of Oceania by multiplying the mid-range figure 
                  by 25/315 based on the populations of North America and Oceania 
                  rounded to 315 million and 25 million respectively. 
                  3. The UNAIDS estimates for Oceania were subtracted from the 
                  corresponding estimates for North America adjusted for Oceania 
                  in the 'standardised estimates' (Table 1) . 
                  4. The resulting decreases in 2003 of 64,365 existing cases 
                  ( prevalence) , 2,721 new cases (incidence) and 1,115 mortalities 
                  (deaths) due to AIDS/HIV in 2003 in Oceania are attributed totally 
                  to HR activities and are designated ' Total cases or deaths 
                  prevented ' ( Table 1). 
                  In 2003 Oceania would therefore have had the above additional 
                  cases and deaths due to HIV/AIDS if it were not for the HR policies 
                  adopted by Australia's and New Zealand's governments involving 
                  principally the widespread dosing of liquid methadone and issuing 
                  needle equipment by pharmacies.
                
                  2 .2 Decreases in HIV/AIDS in Oceania in 2003 due to harm reduction 
                  in community pharmacies 
                Curtin 
                  University's NPDP results reflected the numbers that were dosed 
                  in Australia's community pharmacies patients with methadone, 
                  buprenorphine and naltrexone during 2002 had risen to more than 
                  40,000. A larger number of clients were provided with sterile 
                  needle equipment. The total numbers of clients who received 
                  HR activities exceeded 40,000 . The numbers of patients registered 
                  in Australia's methadone maintenance programs has exceeded 10,000 
                  since 1991 and by May 2000 had increased to 30,752 patients. 
                  
                  In 1997-98 there were an estimated 74,000 Australian dependent 
                  heroin users and it unlikely the figure has increased substantially 
                  since then because of falls in the supply of heroin (Hall et 
                  al, 2000; Topp et al, 2002). These figures imply the rate of 
                  patients in treatment has grown rapidly . Community pharmacies 
                  provide even more clients with sterile needle equipment. The 
                  total number provided with either or both needle equipment and 
                  pharmacotherapies by Australia's community pharmacies exceeds 
                  50,000 and may well be more than 60,000 people throughout Australia. 
                  
                In 
                  this study community pharmacies in Oceania are assigned a notional 
                  attributable fraction of 0.1 (or 10%) of the decreases in HIV/AIDS 
                  cases or lives due to their contribution to the total HR activities 
                  in Oceania. That is, an estimated 272 new cases and 6,436 existing 
                  cases as well as 111 deaths due to HIV/AIDS may have been prevented 
                  by the HR activities of community pharmacies in 2003.
                Table 
                  1. HIV/AIDS deaths, incidence and prevalence in 2003 : North 
                  America and Oceania
                  (sources : The Australian Nov 27 2003 : page 7; The Washington 
                  Post Nov 27, 2003 : www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/health/daily/graphics/AIDS_112603.gif 
                  )
                
                   
                    |  
                       2003 
                        AIDS/HIV indicators 
                     | 
                     
                       North 
                        America 
                     | 
                     
                       Oceania 
                     | 
                     
                       Standardised 
                        figures 
                     | 
                     
                       * 
                        Total cases or deaths prevented 
                     | 
                  
                   
                    |  
                        
                        Prevalence or current cases (mid-range) 
                     | 
                     
                       0.79-1.2 
                        x 10 6 (1.0 x 10 6) 
                     | 
                     
                       12-18 
                        x 1,000(15,000) 
                     | 
                     
                       80,000-15,000 
                     | 
                     
                       65,000 
                        cases 
                     | 
                  
                   
                    |  
                       Incidence 
                        or new cases (mid-range) 
                     | 
                     
                       36-54 
                        x 1,000(45,000) 
                     | 
                     
                       700-1,000(850) 
                     | 
                     
                       3,600-850 
                     | 
                     
                       2,750 
                        cases  
                     | 
                  
                   
                    |  
                       Deaths 
                        in 2003(mid-range or estimate) 
                     | 
                     
                       12-18 
                        x 1,000(15,000) 
                     | 
                     
                       <100( 
                        75) 
                     | 
                     
                       1,200-75 
                     | 
                     
                       1,125 
                        deaths 
                     | 
                  
                   
                    |   | 
                  
                
                * to 
                  rounded populations estimated for mid-2003 ie N Am = 315million; 
                  Oceania = 25million
                  The figures for N America reduced by 25/315 or x 0.08 for standardising 
                  the estimates for Oceania
                In 
                  2003, the 10% of the total 65,000 cases prevented and attributed 
                  to community pharmacy ( Table 1) totalled 6,500 current cases 
                  of HIV/AIDS , 275 new cases of HIV/AIDS were avoided and 112 
                  HIV/AIDS deaths were averted. 
                Question:
                  Would supermarket pharmacies play a part 
                  in this impressive contribution to population health by providing 
                  harm reduction services? 
                  How many supermarket pharmacies provide 
                  these services in the UK? 
                  Answer:  
                  UK data is currently being explored for the respective percentages 
                  relating to methadone, buprenorphine and other pharmacotherapies 
                  provided by independent pharmacies and supermarket pharmacies.
                3.0 
                  DISCUSSION 
                  
                  These preliminary estimates of the decreases in HIV/AIDS cases 
                  and deaths in Oceania in 2003 have been estimated to be attributed 
                  by the harm reduction Australia's provided in community pharmacies.
                  The estimates may be affected by many factors including for 
                  example the high accessibility and implementation of AIDS chemotherapy 
                  may directly reduce the numbers of HIV/AIDS deaths.
                  Poor or defective blood transfusion practices may increase the 
                  incidence, prevalence and numbers of deaths suddenly and when 
                  the practices are improved the HIV/AIDS incidence will rapidly 
                  fall, followed by declines in prevalence and numbers of deaths. 
                  
                  The effectiveness of the HR activity will vary depending for 
                  example on the causes of HIV/AIDS. 
                  For example in societies where HIV is most commonly caused by 
                  sexually transmitted disease such as Africa the provision of 
                  condoms is more important than the needle equipment or methadone.
                  The attributable fraction of 0.1 is a notional figure which 
                  does not attempt to distinguish between the contribution of 
                  other HR activities such as condoms, education and intervening 
                  in the diversion or misuse of licit drugs by injection (eg morphine). 
                  
                  The attributable fraction was based on a consideration of the 
                  following factors :
                  (a) data on the extent of pharmacies' HR activities including 
                  the numbers of client provided with sterile needle equipment 
                  and dosed with methadone and other opioid dependence pharmacotherapies 
                  ; 
                  (b) the retention of methadone patients in community-based programs; 
                  
                  (c) the high proportions of Australia's dependent heroin users 
                  provided either or both methadone in 2003 (Hall et al, 2000);
                  (d) from 1991 to 2003 from 10,000 and 40,000 patients were registered 
                  in Oceania's methadone maintenance programs (Berbatis et al, 
                  2000) ; 
                  (e) the total national contribution to the decreased HIV/AIDS 
                  morbidity and mortality attributable as a fraction to HR activities 
                  by pharmacies. 
                  An emerging issue is the role in HR provision by supermarket 
                  pharmacies who now comprise growing proportions of pharmacies 
                  in the USA and England and disproportionately higher components 
                  of total medicines issued and pharmacy sales in those countries. 
                  
                  The advent of supermarket pharmacies reduces the ratio of independent 
                  pharmacies. 
                  Australia has no, and Scotland few, supermarket pharmacies, 
                  but they have the highest national participation rates internationally 
                  of pharmacies in methadone programs and Australia has the highest 
                  reported proportion of pharmacies issuing sterile needle equipment 
                  . 
                  Given no provision by US pharmacies of maintenance methadone 
                  and little of sterile needle equipment US supermarket pharmacies 
                  it is speculated that HR activities in pharmacies will fall 
                  due to the displacement of independent by new supermarket pharmacies. 
                  
                  Data are needed on the numbers of supermarket pharmacies which 
                  provide these services in England and elsewhere in the UK and 
                  also the prevalence of pharmacist-owned in comparison to non-pharmacist-owned 
                  pharmacies providing HR services. 
                  The comparisons will provide insight into relative contribution 
                  to HR activities.
                  In conclusion, we have applied a notional 0.1 or 10% of total 
                  HIV/AIDS cases or deaths prevented (Table 1) in Oceania compared 
                  to North America to estimate the contribution by Australia's 
                  community pharmacies to HIV/AIDS morbidity and mortality. 
                  Community pharmacies' contribution was estimated to decrease 
                  HIV/AIDS in 2003 by 6,436 current cases, 272 less new cases 
                  per year and 111 fewer deaths prevented in Oceania by providing 
                  sterile needle equipment and dosing with methadone liquid , 
                  buprenorphine and naltrexone. 
                  The relief in terms of psychological trauma and financial loss 
                  will be left to others.
                Con Berbatis 
                  
                  6 February 2004.
                  Email : berbatis@git.com.au
                References
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                  Barton (ACT) : AACP, 2000.
                  Berbatis CG, Sunderland VB, Bulsara M, Lintzeris N. Trends in 
                  licit opioid use in Australia, 1984-1998: comparative analysis 
                  of international and jurisdictional data. Med J Aust 2000; 173: 
                  524-527.
                  Berbatis C, Sunderland VB, Bulsara M, Mills C. National pharmacy 
                  database project. School of Pharmacy, Curtin University of Western 
                  Australia. www.guild.org.au/public/r&d.adpreports# accessed 
                  10 January, 2004.
                  Hall WD, Ross JE, Lynskey MT, Law MG, Degenhardt LJ. How many 
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                  Topp L, Kaye S, Bruno R, et al. Australian drug trends 2001: 
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                  Wodak A. Harm reduction as an approach to treatment . In : Graham 
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